New Survey: McSally Gains in Pivotal Arizona Senate GOP Primary

Phoenix, AZ (June 25, 2018) - Data Orbital is pleased to release results from the latest statewide survey of Arizona's likely GOP primary election voters. The survey covered the upcoming GOP primary for Arizona's open US Senate seat vacated by US Senator Flake. Data Orbital commissioned this poll beginning Tuesday, June 19th and ending on Thursday, June 21st. 

Data Orbital AZ Statewide Survey Poll Senate GOP Primary June 2018
Data Orbital AZ Statewide Survey Poll Senate GOP Primary June 2018

The following shows each primary candidate's support broken down by respondent age and region of Arizona.

Data Orbital AZ Statewide Survey Poll Senate GOP Primary June 2018

Next, we compare our June 2018 survey with our January 2018 survey.  There is an increase of 7.3% for Congresswoman McSally and a noticeable decrease of 6.6% of undecided voters.


George Khalaf, President of Data Orbital, issued the following statement on these results: "It is clear that in the past six months, Congresswoman McSally has done what she needed to do in this race. Both Sheriff Arpaio and Dr. Ward are largely unchanged, while she has gained 6 percentage points. Still quite a bit of undecided voters, with 20% of people not having a choice with the primary two months away. The next five weeks until early ballots are mailed out will be critical for Congresswoman McSally if she hopes to have this race wrapped up."

This poll of 550 likely general election voters was conducted through a live survey that collected 70% of the results from land lines and 30% from cell phones. It has a margin of error at plus or minus 4.17%, with a 95% confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based off historical general election turnout in Arizona. The poll was conducted over three days from June 19th-21st. Toplines and demographic data can be found here and cross tabs here.


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Data Orbital is a full-service data analytics and survey research firm with local, state and national experience.  Through combine data expertise with political intelligence Data Orbital advances causes, ideas and candidates. 



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