NEW SURVEY: Arizona Secretary of State Republican Primary Uncertain

Phoenix, AZ (July 17, 2018) - With Arizona Primaries just over a month away Data Orbital is proud to release the latest poll on the Arizona Secretary of State Republican Primary.  The survey polled likely Republican Primary Election voters across Arizona and was conducted over three days from July 10th-12th. 

With 45.5% of voters being undecided, incumbent Michele Reagan is at almost even, at 26.37%, with challenger Steve Gaynor, who is at 26.40%. 


Looking across likely voter age groups Gaynor is at 30.4% with the 65+ age group compared to Reagan at 23.4%.


Breaking down this survey further we look at the spread across gender.


George Khalaf, President of Data Orbital, issued the following statement on these results: "Our most recent survey shows that the Arizona Secretary of State Republican Primary looks to be a toss up at this point. Steve Gaynor is proving to be a legitimate challenger to current incumbent Michele Reagan, even seeing success with females voters. The region to watch as we get closer to the August 28th primary is Southern Arizona, as it has the largest number of undecided voters at 69.6%”

This poll of 550 likely Arizona Republican primary election voters was conducted through a live survey that collected 70% of the results from land lines and 30% from cell phones. It has a margin of error at plus or minus 4.17%, with a 95% confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based off historical Republican primary election turnout. The poll was conducted over three days from July 10th-12th. All non-released questions prior to questions released would not reasonably be expected to influence responses to the released questions. The questions released are verbatim from the survey provided to respondents. Toplines and demographic data can be found here and cross tabs here.


Data Orbital is a full-service data analytics and survey research firm with local, state and national experience. Through combine data expertise with political intelligence Data Orbital advances causes, ideas and candidates. 


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