Trump's Favorability Underwater and Voters Split on Prop 305

(Phoenix - AZ) Today marks the release of Data Orbital's Pulse of Arizona second tracking poll that is gauging voter sentiment in the lead up to the important 2018 general election.

This poll commissioned by Data Orbital, allows subscribers to track movement in certain key races and keep up to date on hot button issues as this critical year unfolds. While most of the survey will be kept confidential to subscribers, a handful of questions will be released quarterly for public consumption. To receive more information about how to subscribe, please reach out to Data Orbital (info@dataorbital.com).

Specifically, we are tracking President Trump's favorability in Arizona and Proposition 305, the potential ballot measure dealing with Empowerment Savings Accounts.

President_Trump_Favorability_AZ_Jan_2018

When broken down by party the President's strength has increased with Republicans going from a net positive of 59% to a 67% margin. While Democrats view him unfavorably by an 86% margin and Independents by 34%.

Trump_Favorability_Breakdown_Party_AZ_Jan_2018

With the fate of Proposition 305 (the proposed Empowerment Savings Accounts expansion rollback) still moving through the court system, general election voters are nearly split on their opinion of the potential proposition with 34% voting yes, 37% no and 27% still undecided. 
 

 
Favorability_Prop_305_Arizona
 

George Khalaf, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement: “The President's net unfavorability is still below the national average and that is being supported by his 80% support from Republicans. Since our poll in October, however, his unfavorability amongst Independents has climbed 12 points. In terms of Proposition 305, the potential outcome remains clear as mud with nearly 30% of people still undecided on the matter."

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This poll of 800 likely general election voters was conducted through a live survey that evenly collected results 50/50 from land lines and cell phones. It has a margin of error at plus or minus 3.5 percent, with a 95 percent confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based off historical general election turnout in Arizona. The poll was conducted from January 23rd to 25th. Toplines and demographic data can be found here and cross tabs available upon request.

Data Orbital