NEW SURVEY: Ducey Leads in AZ Gubernatorial Race


Phoenix, AZ (September 10, 2018) - As midterm races in Arizona begin the 60 day sprint to election day in November, Data Orbital is pleased to release the results of it's first General Election survey of the cycle. The survey was of likely Arizona General Election voters and was conducted from September 4th to the 6th.

AZ Gubernatorial Survey Statewide Garcia Ducey 2018

Data Orbital's ballot test for the Arizona Gubernatorial Race, between incumbent Republican Governor Doug Ducey and winner of the three-way Democratic Primary David Garcia, shows Ducey with just under an 8% lead. With only 7.9% of surveyed voters currently being undecided, there is little room for major movement leading up to election day. 

Looking at the view of President Trump the survey shows President Trump underwater by 6.5 percentage points, consistent with past survey results prior to the Arizona primary election. 

AZ Trump Governor Ducey Favorability September 2018

George Khalaf, President of Data Orbital, issued the following statement on these results: "With the primary behind them, Ducey and Garcia's campaigns are fully focused on November 6th.  These numbers indicate that even with high enthusiasm from Democrats, Governor Ducey still holds a comfortable lead.  With races heating up statewide and Election Day under two months away, we will continue to track the trends of the Gubernatorial race and other key statewide races across Arizona." 

This poll of 550 likely General Election voters was conducted through a live survey that collected 70% of the results from land lines and 30% from cell phones. It has a margin of error at plus or minus 4.18%, with a 95% confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based off historical Arizona general election turnout. The poll was conducted on September 4-6. All non-released questions prior to questions released would not reasonably be expected to influence responses to all released questions. The questions released are verbatim from the survey provided to respondents. Toplines and demographic data can be found here. Crosstabs for this survey can be found here.


Data Orbital is a full-service data analytics and survey research firm with local, state and national experience. Through combining data expertise with political intelligence Data Orbital advances causes, ideas and candidates. 


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